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Outsid3rTrading

0xf1ef8705e9f63c790c6fffd6329aea7011718cd6Updated 21 Oct 2026, 03:23 UTC

Outsid3rTrading is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 55 open positions worth $300,906; the largest is No on The U.S. invade Iran before 2027, 11% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $6,050.

Best open call: Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, bought at 56.4¢, now 80.0¢, +$5,417 unrealised.

7d profit

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Not on this week's board

7d volume

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Edge —

Open positions

55

worth $300,906

Also sitting on at least 195 settled positions that lost $603,203, not yet cleared. Not counted above.

Open positions

scaled to each market
MarketSharesEntry → nowUnrealised
The U.S. invade Iran before 2027No · The U.S. invade Iran before 202740,00081.3¢ → 84.5¢+$1,000
The Iranian regime fall before 2027No · The Iranian regime fall before 202730,00090.5¢ → 95.5¢+$1,850
The Republican Party control the House after th…No · The Republican Party control the Ho… and related30,00086.0¢ → 91.5¢+$1,730
The Democratic Party control the House after th…Yes · The Republican Party control the Ho… and related30,00082.7¢ → 91.5¢+$2,650
Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian preside…Yes · Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazi… and related23,00056.4¢ → 80.0¢+$5,417
Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA FinalsYes · Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals70,00019.4¢ → 22.5¢+$2,148
Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31No · Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 3112,00093.8¢ → 96.9¢+$362.00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · 2026 Balance of Power10,00092.0¢ → 91.5¢−$50.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December…No · US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December…9,00088.4¢ → 96.5¢+$742.52
The Republicans win the Florida governor race i…Yes · The Republicans win the Florida governor race i…9,99974.0¢ → 80.5¢+$649.94
Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral e…Yes · Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral e…18,00058.2¢ → 44.5¢−$2,547
Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026Yes · Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 202610,00079.9¢ → 74.5¢−$544.39

Where the money is

  • The Republican Party control the Ho… and related18% of open$54,900
  • The U.S. invade Iran before 202711% of open$33,800
  • The Iranian regime fall before 202710% of open$28,650
  • Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazi… and related7% of open$22,090
  • Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals5% of open$15,750
  • 2026 Balance of Power5% of open$13,963
  • Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 314% of open$11,622
  • Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of t… and related3% of open$8,874
  • Everything else · 38 markets37% of open$111,258

Nearby on the leaderboard

Recent fills

TimeSideMarketSharesPriceAmount
03:11 UTCBuy SpursThunder vs. Spurs7,00012.0¢$840.00
01:33 UTCBuy YesOklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals30,24820.0¢$6,050
20 Oct, 07:28 UTCBuy YesKylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'…27381.0¢$221.48
20 Oct, 06:20 UTCBuy YesKylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or6,1264.7¢$287.92
20 Oct, 06:03 UTCBuy YesKylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'…23883.0¢$199.61
20 Oct, 06:03 UTCBuy YesHarry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or1,00097.4¢$975.27
19 Oct, 15:48 UTCBuy YesKylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'…11.0578.0¢$8.62
19 Oct, 15:32 UTCBuy YesHarry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or0.5397.0¢$0.51
19 Oct, 15:32 UTCBuy YesHarry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or3.3697.0¢$3.26
19 Oct, 15:32 UTCBuy YesKylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'…1078.0¢$7.80
19 Oct, 15:24 UTCBuy YesKylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'…1078.0¢$7.80
19 Oct, 15:21 UTCBuy YesKylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'…1078.0¢$7.80
19 Oct, 14:46 UTCBuy YesKylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'…3078.0¢$23.40
19 Oct, 14:44 UTCBuy YesKylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'…3078.0¢$23.40
19 Oct, 13:53 UTCBuy YesKylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'…23.2678.0¢$18.14
19 Oct, 13:48 UTCBuy YesKylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'…2078.0¢$15.60
19 Oct, 13:40 UTCBuy YesKylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'…3078.0¢$23.40
19 Oct, 13:29 UTCBuy YesHarry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or4097.0¢$38.80
19 Oct, 13:00 UTCBuy MbappéBallon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to fini…28657.0¢$162.98
19 Oct, 12:51 UTCBuy MbappéBallon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to fini…19.4557.0¢$11.09

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.

Data from Polymarket's public API. Sharps is not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment advice.

A Pachira Labs experiment