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KaguyaNg
0x974faca19c56e2f16a6ee568cb40acd4d0cfcd80Updated 26 Oct 2026, 16:28 UTC
One tap: the bot follows this wallet for you and sends its larger trades (currently $636 or more) as messages.
KaguyaNg is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 8 open positions worth $307.75; the largest is Yes on The U.S. invade Iran before 2027, 43% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $1,716.
Best open call: Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31, bought at 37.0¢, now 92.0¢, +$16.06 unrealised.
7d profit
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Not on this week's board
7d volume
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Edge —
Open positions
8
worth $307.75
Also sitting on 88 settled positions that lost $96,974, not yet cleared. Not counted above.
Open positions
scaled to each market| Market | Shares | Entry → now | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|
| The U.S. invade Iran before 2027Yes · The U.S. invade Iran before 2027 | 718 | 55.7¢ → 18.5¢ | −$267.15 |
| The Iranian regime fall before 2027Yes · The Iranian regime fall before 2027 | 1,096 | 25.2¢ → 6.5¢ | −$138.72 |
| The Democratic Party control the Senate after t…Yes · The Democratic Party control the Senate after t… | 57.7 | 47.9¢ → 64.5¢ | +$9.65 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026No · Netanyahu out by end of 2026 | 62 | 58.1¢ → 60.0¢ | +$1.15 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by Dece…No · Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by Dece… | 29.2 | 37.0¢ → 92.0¢ | +$16.06 |
| Israel strike 4 countries in 2026No · Israel strike 4 countries in 2026 | 3.2 | 81.6¢ → 33.0¢ | −$1.56 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | 12 | 16.0¢ → 7.5¢ | −$1.02 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31Yes · US strike on Cuba by December 31 | 5.2 | 37.0¢ → 9.5¢ | −$1.43 |
Where the money is
- The U.S. invade Iran before 202743% of open$132.81
- The Iranian regime fall before 202723% of open$71.22
- The Democratic Party control the Senate after t…12% of open$37.22
- Netanyahu out by end of 202612% of open$37.20
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by Dece…9% of open$26.86
- Israel strike 4 countries in 20260% of open$1.05
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House0% of open$0.90
- US strike on Cuba by December 310% of open$0.49
Nearby on the leaderboard
- #1 this weekBreakTheBank+$2,267,840
- #2 this weekUpTheBlues+$1,454,636
- #3 this weekjakepaulthegoat2008+$1,415,940
- #4 this week0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465+$1,324,530
Recent fills
No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.