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surf

0xfd2b117412a698f322b0cd18d6827dad262b8e50Updated 28 Oct 2026, 05:22 UTC
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surf is a Polymarket wallet ranked #24 of 100 this week, with +$356,624 of profit on $36,501 of volume, an edge of 977%. It holds 10 open positions worth $34,507; the largest is No on Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel, 50% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $11,449.

Best open call: The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meet…, bought at 78.8¢, now 95.8¢, +$1,856 unrealised.

7d profit

+$356,624

Rank 24 of 100 this week

7d volume

$36,501

Edge 977%

Open positions

10

worth $34,507

Also sitting on 118 settled positions that lost $1,031,433, not yet cleared. Not counted above.

Open positions

scaled to each market
MarketSharesEntry → nowUnrealised
Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister o…No · Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister o…36,50151.2¢ → 47.5¢−$1,368
The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after…No · The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after…10,89378.8¢ → 95.8¢+$1,856
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026No · Hantavirus pandemic in 20265,30592.0¢ → 98.4¢+$336.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Decembe…Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Decembe…6,71824.4¢ → 16.0¢−$568.08
The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after…Yes · The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after…4,09323.0¢ → 4.2¢−$769.28
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026No · Kristi Noem impeached in 202616185.0¢ → 98.2¢+$21.21
OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026Yes · OpenAI IPO by December 31 20262,52136.6¢ → 3.8¢−$827.71
Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidenti…Yes · Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democrati… and related4019.4¢ → 16.6¢−$1.14
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democrati…Yes · Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democrati… and related4012.7¢ → 16.0¢+$1.30
Samuel Alito announce his retirement by Decembe…Yes · Samuel Alito announce his retirement by Decembe…1053.0¢ → 15.5¢−$3.75

Where the money is

  • Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister o…50% of open$17,338
  • The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after…31% of open$10,607
  • Hantavirus pandemic in 202615% of open$5,218
  • Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Decembe…3% of open$1,075
  • Kristi Noem impeached in 20260% of open$158.34
  • OpenAI IPO by December 31 20260% of open$95.81
  • Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democrati… and related0% of open$13.00
  • Samuel Alito announce his retirement by Decembe…0% of open$1.55

Nearby on the leaderboard

Recent fills

TimeSideMarketSharesPriceAmount
04:36 UTCBuy NoBenjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel23552.0¢$122.02
04:34 UTCBuy NoBenjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel86852.0¢$451.20
04:29 UTCBuy NoBenjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel20852.0¢$108.33
04:29 UTCBuy NoBenjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel27.0652.0¢$14.07
04:28 UTCBuy NoBenjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel2,05052.0¢$1,066
04:28 UTCBuy NoBenjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel5,71152.0¢$2,970
03:42 UTCBuy NoBenjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel22,44951.0¢$11,449
03:42 UTCBuy NoBenjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel4,95351.0¢$2,526
1 Oct, 17:31 UTCBuy YesThe Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…2323.0¢$5.49
1 Oct, 17:31 UTCBuy YesThe Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…4,05023.0¢$967.37
1 Oct, 17:31 UTCBuy YesThe Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…2022.0¢$4.57
1 Oct, 17:30 UTCBuy NoThe Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…10,00078.9¢$7,974
1 Oct, 17:30 UTCBuy NoThe Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…1079.0¢$7.98
1 Oct, 17:30 UTCBuy NoThe Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…88377.0¢$687.68
28 Sep, 16:59 UTCBuy YesThe next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 2…1088.0¢$8.80
28 Sep, 16:59 UTCBuy YesThe next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 2…1088.0¢$8.84
28 Sep, 16:59 UTCBuy YesThe next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 2…1088.0¢$8.84
28 Sep, 16:59 UTCBuy YesThe next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 2…1088.0¢$8.84
28 Sep, 16:59 UTCBuy YesThe next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 2…1088.0¢$8.84
28 Sep, 16:59 UTCBuy YesThe next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 2…1088.0¢$8.84

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.

Data from Polymarket's public API. Sharps is not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment advice.

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