elmcap2

0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5Updated 26 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC

One tap: the bot follows this wallet for you and sends its larger trades (currently $5,000 or more) as messages.

elmcap2 is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 105 open positions worth $6,182,352; the largest is No on JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election, 26% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $9,213.

Best open call: JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election, bought at 50.0¢, now 80.0¢, +$601,000 unrealised.

7d profit

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Not on this week's board

7d volume

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Edge —

Open positions

105

worth $6,182,352

Open positions

scaled to each market

Market	Shares	Entry → now	Unrealised
JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential ElectionNo · JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election	2,000,000	50.0¢ → 80.0¢	+$601,000
There be no change in Fed interest rates after…Yes · There be no change in Fed interest… and related	854,059	94.0¢ → 95.3¢	+$11,198
The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after…No · There be no change in Fed interest… and related	650,000	94.0¢ → 95.5¢	+$9,750
JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential ElectionYes · JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election	2,000,000	50.0¢ → 20.0¢	−$601,000
The US confirm that aliens exist before 2027No · The US confirm that aliens exist	389,345	95.5¢ → 95.9¢	+$1,697
Trump out as President before 2027No · Trump out as President before 2027	362,963	92.7¢ → 94.8¢	+$12,833
The US confirm that aliens exist by October 31No · The US confirm that aliens exist	289,300	98.9¢ → 99.4¢	+$1,437
The 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduledYes · The 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled	263,458	97.0¢ → 98.0¢	+$2,759
Xi Jinping out before 2027No · Xi Jinping out before 2027	256,272	96.8¢ → 94.7¢	−$5,500
Trump acquire Greenland before 2027No · Trump acquire Greenland before 2027	199,111	88.5¢ → 97.7¢	+$19,756
The Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after…No · There be no change in Fed interest… and related	150,000	99.6¢ → 99.9¢	+$425.05
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Decem…No · New "Stranger Things" episode released by Decem…	124,132	91.5¢ → 97.8¢	+$7,801

Where the money is

JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election32% of open$2,000,000
There be no change in Fed interest… and related26% of open$1,613,866
The US confirm that aliens exist11% of open$660,608
Trump out as President before 20276% of open$344,271
The 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled4% of open$258,321
Xi Jinping out before 20274% of open$242,689
Trump acquire Greenland before 20273% of open$194,432
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Decem…2% of open$121,339
Everything else · 74 markets12% of open$746,826

Nearby on the leaderboard

#1 this weekBreakTheBank+$2,263,899
#2 this weekjakepaulthegoat2008+$1,522,194
#3 this weekUpTheBlues+$1,407,055
#4 this week0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465+$1,349,596

Recent fills

Time	Side	Market	Shares	Price	Amount
10:50 UTC	Buy No	The Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026	47	94.0¢	$44.18
10:49 UTC	Buy No	The Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026	30	94.0¢	$28.20
10:46 UTC	Buy No	The Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026	27	94.0¢	$25.38
10:26 UTC	Buy No	The Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the Oc…	1,812	99.6¢	$1,805
10:19 UTC	Buy No	The Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the Oc…	10	99.6¢	$9.96
09:59 UTC	Buy No	The Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the Oc…	2,084	99.6¢	$2,076
09:59 UTC	Buy No	The Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the Oc…	275	99.6¢	$273.90
09:41 UTC	Buy No	The Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the Oc…	275	99.6¢	$273.90
09:41 UTC	Buy No	The Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the Oc…	943	99.6¢	$938.97
08:31 UTC	Buy No	The Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026	19	94.0¢	$17.86
08:24 UTC	Buy No	The Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026	20	94.0¢	$18.80
07:06 UTC	Buy No	Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026	9,250	99.6¢	$9,213
05:44 UTC	Buy No	The Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026	0.63	94.0¢	$0.59
05:44 UTC	Buy No	The Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026	20.11	94.0¢	$18.90
04:44 UTC	Buy Yes	The Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York At…	60	90.1¢	$54.06
04:44 UTC	Buy No	The Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York At…	23.02	90.0¢	$20.72
04:44 UTC	Buy Yes	The Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York At…	75	90.1¢	$67.58
04:41 UTC	Buy Yes	The Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York At…	70.4	90.1¢	$63.43
04:09 UTC	Buy No	The US confirm that aliens exist by October 31	614	98.6¢	$605.30
03:58 UTC	Buy No	The US confirm that aliens exist by October 31	2,500	98.7¢	$2,468

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.