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ArmageddonRewardsBilly

0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418Updated 26 Oct 2026, 10:03 UTC
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ArmageddonRewardsBilly is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 250 open positions worth $658,664; the largest is No on Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026, 13% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $21,120.

Best open call: JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election, bought at 50.0¢, now 80.0¢, +$15,056 unrealised.

7d profit

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Not on this week's board

7d volume

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Edge —

Open positions

250

worth $658,664

Open positions

scaled to each market
MarketSharesEntry → nowUnrealised
Steve Hilton win the California Governor Electi…No · Steve Hilton win the California Governor Electi…90,74696.7¢ → 97.0¢+$1,303
There be no change in Fed interest rates after…Yes · There be no change in Fed interest… and related50,00093.5¢ → 95.5¢+$1,800
The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after…No · There be no change in Fed interest… and related50,00094.0¢ → 95.5¢+$822.98
Inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026No · Inflation reach more than47,66682.0¢ → 86.0¢+$4,071
JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential ElectionNo · JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election50,00050.0¢ → 80.0¢+$15,056
Inflation reach more than 5% in 2026No · Inflation reach more than27,31183.1¢ → 91.5¢+$3,552
Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local gov…Yes · Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head… and related31,73687.1¢ → 69.0¢−$6,068
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 20…No · Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 20…24,93161.1¢ → 84.0¢+$12,507
The 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027No · The 10-year Treasury yield hit23,03781.3¢ → 86.9¢+$416.21
The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the…No · Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head… and related14,78887.0¢ → 69.2¢−$2,589
JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential ElectionYes · JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election50,00050.0¢ → 20.0¢−$14,944
Xi Jinping out before 2027No · Xi Jinping out before 202710,00095.8¢ → 96.0¢+$1,361

Where the money is

  • There be no change in Fed interest… and related14% of open$95,500
  • Steve Hilton win the California Governor Electi…13% of open$87,978
  • Inflation reach more than10% of open$65,983
  • JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election8% of open$50,000
  • Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head… and related5% of open$32,124
  • Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 20…3% of open$20,942
  • The 10-year Treasury yield hit3% of open$20,412
  • Any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Ye… and related2% of open$14,716
  • Everything else · 157 markets41% of open$271,009

Nearby on the leaderboard

Recent fills

TimeSideMarketSharesPriceAmount
10:00 UTCBuy YesNext OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2…2.0183.3¢$1.68
09:47 UTCBuy NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3056863.0¢$358.15
09:46 UTCBuy NoXi Jinping out before 202710,00095.8¢$9,580
09:45 UTCSell NoChiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election44838.0¢$170.24
09:44 UTCSell YesThere be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo…22,00096.0¢$21,120
09:43 UTCSell NoMicrosoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 202718.6757.0¢$10.64
09:43 UTCBuy YesSpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 202710.8134.0¢$3.68
09:42 UTCSell NoChiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election6038.0¢$22.80
09:42 UTCBuy NoPuma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election4861.9¢$29.71
09:42 UTCSell NoChiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election6838.0¢$25.84
09:42 UTCBuy NoPuma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election8061.9¢$49.52
09:42 UTCSell NoChiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election5038.0¢$19.00
09:29 UTCSell NoTrump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 30,…1093.0¢$9.30
09:29 UTCSell NoTrump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 30,…3093.0¢$27.90
09:27 UTCSell NoThe Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most hea…49.4370.0¢$34.60
09:22 UTCBuy NoTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by Decembe…2487.0¢$20.88
09:08 UTCBuy YesThe Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Dec…20076.0¢$152.00
09:08 UTCSell NoTrump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 30,…593.0¢$4.65
08:57 UTCBuy NoPuma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election1,27061.9¢$786.26
08:51 UTCSell NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 20…77379.0¢$610.88

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.

Data from Polymarket's public API. Sharps is not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment advice.

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