Contestable-Parfait

0xc301c1e034e71e1a6ce9684f029c4674a00466aaUpdated 26 Oct 2026, 07:56 UTC

One tap: the bot follows this wallet for you and sends its larger trades (currently $50 or more) as messages.

Contestable-Parfait is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 161 open positions worth $421,940; the largest is No on Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, 25% of the book.

Best open call: Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, bought at 61.5¢, now 100.0¢, +$145,322 unrealised.

7d profit

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Not on this week's board

7d volume

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Edge —

Open positions

161

worth $421,940

Also sitting on 10 settled positions that lost $41,014, not yet cleared. Not counted above.

Open positions

scaled to each market

Market	Shares	Entry → now	Unrealised
Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian preside…No · Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazi… and related	106,821	61.5¢ → 100.0¢	+$145,322
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · 2026 Balance of Power	89,737	64.2¢ → 64.5¢	−$407.47
Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end o…Yes · Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Ven… and related	45,050	74.6¢ → 75.4¢	+$365.85
The Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2…Yes · The Democrats win the Nevada govern… and related	43,259	65.0¢ → 68.5¢	+$1,400
Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Isr…Yes · Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Min… and related	46,868	50.9¢ → 54.4¢	+$1,645
The Democratic Party control the Senate after t…Yes · The Democratic Party control the Se… and related	21,352	66.7¢ → 64.5¢	−$676.33
The Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 20…No · The Republicans win the Texas Senat… and related	17,971	62.8¢ → 64.5¢	+$226.42
Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli l…Yes · Yashar win the most seats in the 20… and related	12,189	71.2¢ → 73.0¢	+$64.28
The Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026Yes · The Democrats win the Iowa governor… and related	9,056	87.3¢ → 85.5¢	−$663.50
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midtermsYes · US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms	9,466	74.8¢ → 80.5¢	−$635.82
The Republican Party control the Senate after t…No · The Democratic Party control the Se… and related	11,203	66.7¢ → 64.5¢	−$637.29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes · 2026 Balance of Power	27,251	24.0¢ → 26.5¢	+$3,324

Where the money is

Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazi… and related26% of open$109,764
2026 Balance of Power15% of open$65,103
Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Ven… and related8% of open$34,959
The Democrats win the Nevada govern… and related8% of open$33,763
Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Min… and related6% of open$26,691
The Democratic Party control the Se… and related5% of open$20,998
The Republicans win the Texas Senat… and related4% of open$15,981
Yashar win the most seats in the 20… and related3% of open$14,638
Everything else · 76 markets24% of open$100,042

Nearby on the leaderboard

#1 this weekBreakTheBank+$2,257,543
#2 this weekjakepaulthegoat2008+$1,440,841
#3 this weekUpTheBlues+$1,364,084
#4 this week0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465+$1,342,512

Recent fills

Time	Side	Market	Shares	Price	Amount
07:48 UTC	Buy Yes	The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…	160	4.0¢	$6.40
07:45 UTC	Buy Yes	The Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026	14.86	90.0¢	$13.37
07:45 UTC	Buy Yes	The Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026	222	91.0¢	$202.02
07:41 UTC	Buy Yes	Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislativ…	1.35	26.0¢	$0.35
07:39 UTC	Buy Yes	The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…	7.14	4.0¢	$0.29
07:37 UTC	Buy Yes	The Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat	5.5	43.0¢	$2.37
07:08 UTC	Buy Yes	The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…	10.95	4.0¢	$0.44
07:06 UTC	Buy Yes	The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…	7.14	4.0¢	$0.29
06:58 UTC	Buy Yes	The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…	20.83	4.0¢	$0.83
06:55 UTC	Buy Yes	The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…	16.66	4.0¢	$0.67
06:46 UTC	Buy No	Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislati…	200	26.0¢	$52.00
06:34 UTC	Buy Yes	The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Oct…	29.35	4.0¢	$1.17
06:29 UTC	Buy Yes	Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republic…	20	12.0¢	$2.40
05:25 UTC	Buy No	The Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026	100	7.0¢	$7.00
05:04 UTC	Buy Yes	The Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat	6	42.0¢	$2.52
04:44 UTC	Buy No	The Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York At…	600	90.1¢	$540.60
03:29 UTC	Buy No	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms	24.77	17.0¢	$4.21
03:04 UTC	Buy Yes	Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections	9	61.0¢	$5.49
03:04 UTC	Buy Yes	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026	1.1	9.0¢	$0.10
03:02 UTC	Buy Yes	Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina i…	20	18.0¢	$3.60

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