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lava-lava
0x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995aUpdated 26 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC
One tap: the bot follows this wallet for you and sends its larger trades (currently $737 or more) as messages.
lava-lava is a Polymarket wallet ranked #42 of 100 this week, with +$219,443 of profit on $1,103,977 of volume, an edge of 20%. It holds 148 open positions worth $45,990; the largest is Yes on Blue tsunami in 2026. Its largest recent fill was $2,474.
Best open call: Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026, bought at 16.1¢, now 0.1¢, +$2,751 unrealised.
7d profit
+$219,443
Rank 42 of 100 this week
7d volume
$1,103,977
Edge 20%
Open positions
148
worth $45,990
Also sitting on 12 settled positions that lost $4,390, not yet cleared. Not counted above.
Open positions
scaled to each market| Market | Shares | Entry → now | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue tsunami in 2026Yes · Blue tsunami in 2026 | 5,826 | 50.1¢ → 60.0¢ | +$574.61 |
| The Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026No · The Republicans win the Ohio Senate… and related | 4,431 | 59.9¢ → 68.5¢ | −$277.84 |
| Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad La…Yes · Tomáš | 2,567 | 86.6¢ → 97.8¢ | +$285.12 |
| Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026Yes · Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate… and related | 7,807 | 25.0¢ → 25.5¢ | +$1,752 |
| Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidenti…Yes · Édouard Philippe win the 2027 Frenc… and related | 10,000 | 19.0¢ → 16.5¢ | −$250.00 |
| The Student List win 50% or more of the vote in…Yes · The Student List win | 1,477 | 86.1¢ → 98.2¢ | +$178.35 |
| Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of PragueYes · Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of… and related | 1,421 | 46.4¢ → 93.5¢ | +$670.03 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027No · Iran nuclear test before 2027 | 1,384 | 88.5¢ → 96.0¢ | +$306.12 |
| The Democrats win the South Carolina Senate rac…Yes · The Democrats win the South Carolin… and related | 6,281 | 14.9¢ → 19.5¢ | +$290.45 |
| The Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seatNo · The Democratic Party win the TX-15… and related | 6,066 | 13.8¢ → 19.0¢ | +$318.39 |
| Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026No · Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate… and related | 4,455 | 25.0¢ → 25.5¢ | +$1,478 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027No · Any country withdraws from EU before 2027 | 1,003 | 90.0¢ → 97.7¢ | +$333.86 |
Where the money is
- Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate… and related8% of open$3,736
- Blue tsunami in 20268% of open$3,729
- The Republicans win the Ohio Senate… and related7% of open$3,049
- Édouard Philippe win the 2027 Frenc… and related6% of open$2,670
- Tomáš5% of open$2,529
- The Democratic Party win the TX-15… and related5% of open$2,077
- The Democrats win the South Carolin… and related4% of open$1,923
- The Democratic Party win the ME-02… and related3% of open$1,580
- Everything else · 94 markets54% of open$24,698
Nearby on the leaderboard
- #40 this weekpurplegatto+$225,516
- #41 this week0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225+$223,647
- #43 this weekBloodygoodrep1+$215,796
- #44 this week0x9f15…bdb3+$212,924
Recent fills
No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.