aff3

0xe52c0a1327a12edc7bd54ea6f37ce00a4ca96924Updated 26 Oct 2026, 07:56 UTC

One tap: the bot follows this wallet for you and sends its larger trades (currently $50 or more) as messages.

aff3 is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 15 open positions worth $593,065; the largest is No on Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026, 44% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $143,066.

Best open call: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026, bought at 84.0¢, now 93.5¢, +$26,471 unrealised.

7d profit

—

Not on this week's board

7d volume

—

Edge —

Open positions

worth $593,065

Open positions

scaled to each market

Market	Shares	Entry → now	Unrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…No · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…	279,273	84.0¢ → 93.5¢	+$26,471
The Iranian regime fall before 2027No · The Iranian regime fall before 2027	226,945	93.0¢ → 94.5¢	+$13,865
The Democratic Party control the House after th…Yes · The Democratic Party control the House after th…	56,866	88.3¢ → 91.5¢	+$1,803
The U.S. invade Iran before 2027No · The U.S. invade Iran before 2027	23,510	85.0¢ → 81.5¢	+$1,946
Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of…No · Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime… and related	18,447	95.8¢ → 97.8¢	+$362.67
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December…No · Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December…	14,070	92.5¢ → 95.5¢	+$420.70
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…No · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…	7,030	84.8¢ → 99.5¢	+$1,033
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026No · Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026	2,824	92.0¢ → 97.2¢	+$146.84
Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of I…No · Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime… and related	1,989	90.0¢ → 87.5¢	−$49.73
Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of…No · Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of…	1,764	96.0¢ → 98.2¢	+$38.82
Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31No · Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31	1,010	96.7¢ → 96.0¢	−$7.58
SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state…Yes · SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state…	471	96.2¢ → 95.3¢	−$4.40

Where the money is

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…45% of open$268,112
The Iranian regime fall before 202736% of open$214,463
The Democratic Party control the House after th…9% of open$52,032
Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime… and related3% of open$19,772
The U.S. invade Iran before 20273% of open$19,161
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December…2% of open$13,443
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 20260% of open$2,745
Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of…0% of open$1,733
Everything else · 5 markets0% of open$1,604

Nearby on the leaderboard

#1 this weekBreakTheBank+$2,257,543
#2 this weekjakepaulthegoat2008+$1,440,841
#3 this weekUpTheBlues+$1,364,084
#4 this week0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465+$1,342,512

Recent fills

Time	Side	Market	Shares	Price	Amount
05:53 UTC	Buy No	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before Dece…	1,123	92.0¢	$1,033
25 Oct, 21:45 UTC	Sell No	Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid…	1,469	65.3¢	$959.46
25 Oct, 21:45 UTC	Sell No	Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid…	17.95	65.3¢	$11.72
25 Oct, 21:45 UTC	Sell No	Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid…	1.51	65.3¢	$0.99
25 Oct, 21:45 UTC	Sell No	Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid…	75.62	65.3¢	$49.38
25 Oct, 21:45 UTC	Sell No	Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid…	1,990	65.3¢	$1,300
25 Oct, 21:45 UTC	Sell No	Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid…	100	65.3¢	$65.30
23 Oct, 11:29 UTC	Buy No	The Iranian regime fall before 2027	8,000	95.0¢	$7,600
18 Oct, 08:55 UTC	Buy No	Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31	1,010	96.7¢	$976.99
18 Oct, 08:52 UTC	Buy No	The Iranian regime fall before 2027	150,596	95.0¢	$143,066
18 Oct, 08:47 UTC	Buy No	The U.S. invade Iran before 2027	23,510	85.0¢	$19,984
16 Oct, 18:43 UTC	Sell No	The Iranian regime fall before 2027	8.8	95.0¢	$8.36
16 Oct, 16:49 UTC	Sell No	The Iranian regime fall before 2027	77,777	95.0¢	$73,888
16 Oct, 16:00 UTC	Sell No	The Iranian regime fall before 2027	2.32	95.0¢	$2.20
16 Oct, 13:38 UTC	Sell No	The Iranian regime fall before 2027	2.94	95.0¢	$2.79
16 Oct, 13:27 UTC	Sell No	The Iranian regime fall before 2027	1.58	95.0¢	$1.50
16 Oct, 13:27 UTC	Sell No	The Iranian regime fall before 2027	1.05	95.0¢	$1.00
16 Oct, 12:52 UTC	Sell No	The Iranian regime fall before 2027	4.21	95.0¢	$4.00
16 Oct, 10:50 UTC	Sell No	The Iranian regime fall before 2027	1.58	95.0¢	$1.50
16 Oct, 10:50 UTC	Sell No	The Iranian regime fall before 2027	1.05	95.0¢	$1.00

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.