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cigarettes
0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9Updated 25 Oct 2026, 00:12 UTC
One tap: the bot follows this wallet for you and sends its larger trades (currently $80 or more) as messages.
cigarettes is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 250 open positions worth $357,502; the largest is Yes on The Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series.
Best open call: Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or, bought at 4.9¢, now 18.7¢, +$53,649 unrealised.
7d profit
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Not on this week's board
7d volume
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Edge —
Open positions
250
worth $357,502
Open positions
scaled to each market| Market | Shares | Entry → now | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World SeriesYes · The Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026… and related | 31,257 | 43.8¢ → 72.3¢ | +$10,588 |
| The Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2…No · The Democrats win the Michigan Sena… and related | 59,789 | 32.6¢ → 28.5¢ | −$131.90 |
| Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral ele…No · Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral ele… | 28,846 | 44.0¢ → 54.5¢ | +$15,916 |
| The Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in…Yes · The Democrats win the Michigan Sena… and related | 43,006 | 31.3¢ → 28.5¢ | +$6,307 |
| The Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World SeriesNo · The Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026… and related | 14,185 | 73.2¢ → 71.8¢ | +$12.96 |
| Steve Hilton win the California Governor Electi…No · Steve Hilton win the California Governor Electi… | 9,610 | 95.2¢ → 97.0¢ | −$119.05 |
| Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'OrYes · Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d… and related | 43,211 | 4.9¢ → 18.7¢ | +$53,649 |
| Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'…No · Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 20… and related | 7,649 | 90.3¢ → 94.7¢ | +$338.54 |
| Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ba…No · Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 20… and related | 7,717 | 82.0¢ → 90.0¢ | +$614.62 |
| The Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three deci…No · The Fed | 7,217 | 81.2¢ → 79.0¢ | +$563.24 |
| The Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 20…Yes · The Republicans win the Maine Senat… and related | 15,740 | 34.9¢ → 35.5¢ | +$425.81 |
| The Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league champ…No · The Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL… and related | 5,400 | 93.8¢ → 94.2¢ | −$534.79 |
Where the money is
- The Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026… and related9% of open$32,768
- The Democrats win the Michigan Sena… and related8% of open$29,297
- Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 20… and related7% of open$25,168
- Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d… and related4% of open$15,830
- Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral ele…4% of open$15,721
- Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5… and related3% of open$12,360
- Steve Hilton win the California Governor Electi…3% of open$9,322
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through2% of open$7,284
- Everything else · 153 markets59% of open$209,753
Nearby on the leaderboard
- #1 this weekmooseborzoii+$1,763,997
- #2 this weeke46m3+$1,545,976
- #3 this weekBreakTheBank+$1,404,219
- #4 this weekHomeRunHazard+$1,035,461
Recent fills
No alerts from these fills: the largest was $77.00, under this wallet's $80 threshold.