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onepingonly

0x950ea3d54a52dca7ec54e7a0338812450268f8e5Updated 21 Oct 2026, 03:03 UTC

onepingonly is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 5 open positions worth $64,740; the largest is Yes on The U.S. invade Iran before 2027, 96% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $14,419.

Every open call is under water. Closest to even: 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026, bought at 24.9¢, now 1.1¢, −$955.79 unrealised.

7d profit

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Not on this week's board

7d volume

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Edge —

Open positions

5

worth $64,740

Also sitting on 4 settled positions that lost $53,548, not yet cleared. Not counted above.

Open positions

scaled to each market
MarketSharesEntry → nowUnrealised
The U.S. invade Iran before 2027Yes · The U.S. invade Iran before 2027400,00029.3¢ → 15.5¢−$55,358
Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026Yes · Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 202620,00026.0¢ → 8.5¢−$3,500
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilia…Yes · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilia…4,76242.0¢ → 20.5¢−$1,024
1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026Yes · 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026 and related4,01924.9¢ → 1.1¢−$955.79
2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026Yes · 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026 and related5,00719.8¢ → 0.4¢−$973.29

Where the money is

  • The U.S. invade Iran before 202796% of open$62,000
  • Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 20263% of open$1,700
  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilia…2% of open$976.19
  • 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026 and related0% of open$64.23

Nearby on the leaderboard

Recent fills

TimeSideMarketSharesPriceAmount
20 Aug, 00:15 UTCBuy YesBitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 202619,04026.0¢$4,950
19 Aug, 21:10 UTCBuy YesBitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 202636326.0¢$94.34
19 Aug, 20:55 UTCBuy YesBitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 202635726.0¢$92.93
19 Aug, 20:54 UTCBuy YesBitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 202622426.0¢$58.33
19 Aug, 19:51 UTCBuy YesBitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 20261.8226.0¢$0.47
19 Aug, 19:24 UTCBuy YesBitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 20266.7626.0¢$1.76
19 Aug, 19:21 UTCBuy YesBitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 20266.7626.0¢$1.76
12 Jun, 06:04 UTCBuy NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T10,00044.4¢$4,539
12 Jun, 04:22 UTCBuy NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T8,33358.1¢$4,919
11 Jun, 02:21 UTCBuy NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T8,19760.2¢$5,016
3 Jun, 13:42 UTCBuy YesMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20261,666,6670.6¢$10,398
1 Jun, 15:47 UTCBuy YesMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20265,19354.0¢$2,804
1 Jun, 15:43 UTCBuy YesMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20264.0354.0¢$2.18
1 Jun, 15:43 UTCBuy YesMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 202689154.0¢$481.15
1 Jun, 15:43 UTCBuy YesMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 202613,91253.7¢$7,612
4 May, 18:40 UTCBuy YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 202746,51331.0¢$14,419
2 May, 15:44 UTCBuy YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 20276,41529.0¢$1,860
2 May, 15:43 UTCBuy YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 2027929.0¢$2.61
2 May, 15:40 UTCBuy YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 20270.1329.0¢$0.04
2 May, 15:40 UTCBuy YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 20270.0129.0¢$0.00

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.

Data from Polymarket's public API. Sharps is not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment advice.

A Pachira Labs experiment