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LlamaLoco0000

0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4aUpdated 20 Oct 2026, 13:47 UTC

LlamaLoco0000 is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 38 open positions worth $1,007,056; the largest is No on David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election, 43% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $8,560.

Best open call: NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026, bought at 22.8¢, now 29.5¢, +$22,080 unrealised.

7d profit

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Not on this week's board

7d volume

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Edge —

Open positions

38

worth $1,007,056

Also sitting on 95 settled positions that lost $412,828, not yet cleared. Not counted above.

Open positions

scaled to each market
MarketSharesEntry → nowUnrealised
David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential…No · David Lisnard win the 2027 French p… and related489,77890.2¢ → 88.3¢−$9,089
Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential…No · David Lisnard win the 2027 French p… and related404,96061.1¢ → 53.3¢−$31,357
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 20…Yes · NATO x Russia military clash by331,65222.8¢ → 29.5¢+$22,080
China x Philippines military clash before 2027Yes · China x Philippines military clash before 2027303,97631.5¢ → 24.5¢−$21,324
The U.S. invade Iran before 2027Yes · The U.S. invade Iran before 2027200,00020.2¢ → 15.5¢−$26,831
Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presiden…Yes · David Lisnard win the 2027 French p… and related257,72910.8¢ → 10.5¢−$897.87
Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026Yes · Ethereum dip to300,67839.4¢ → 8.3¢−$97,200
The Iranian regime fall before 2027Yes · The Iranian regime fall before 2027477,35921.0¢ → 4.5¢−$78,592
Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026Yes · Ethereum dip to284,87424.8¢ → 6.5¢−$52,184
China x Japan military clash before 2027Yes · China x Japan military clash before 2027373,30011.0¢ → 3.9¢−$26,603
Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'OrYes · Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'… and related55,80030.5¢ → 19.3¢−$6,281
Trump be impeached before his term endsYes · Trump be impeached before his term ends12,23762.0¢ → 76.0¢+$1,713

Where the money is

  • David Lisnard win the 2027 French p… and related67% of open$675,826
  • NATO x Russia military clash by10% of open$100,352
  • China x Philippines military clash before 20277% of open$74,474
  • Ethereum dip to4% of open$43,473
  • The U.S. invade Iran before 20273% of open$31,000
  • The Iranian regime fall before 20272% of open$21,481
  • China x Japan military clash before 20271% of open$14,559
  • Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'… and related1% of open$10,926
  • Everything else · 22 markets3% of open$34,964

Nearby on the leaderboard

Recent fills

TimeSideMarketSharesPriceAmount
19 Oct, 11:09 UTCBuy NoMarine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election3,72052.0¢$1,934
19 Oct, 09:30 UTCBuy NoMarine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election6,54851.8¢$3,460
16 Oct, 05:44 UTCBuy YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 20265,06024.0¢$1,215
16 Oct, 03:44 UTCBuy NoMarine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election12.653.2¢$6.70
16 Oct, 03:31 UTCBuy NoMarine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election553.2¢$2.66
16 Oct, 02:50 UTCBuy NoMarine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election42853.2¢$227.70
16 Oct, 01:43 UTCBuy NoMarine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election10,51353.0¢$5,673
16 Oct, 01:42 UTCSell YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 202747,14115.0¢$7,071
16 Oct, 01:42 UTCBuy NoMarine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election15,94552.7¢$8,560
16 Oct, 01:28 UTCSell YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 20272.3916.0¢$0.38
16 Oct, 01:05 UTCSell YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 202734.4716.0¢$5.52
16 Oct, 01:03 UTCSell YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 202774.4716.0¢$11.92
16 Oct, 01:03 UTCSell YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 20279616.0¢$15.36
16 Oct, 01:03 UTCSell YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 202745.2316.0¢$7.24
16 Oct, 01:02 UTCSell YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 20270.6816.0¢$0.11
16 Oct, 01:02 UTCSell YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 202735.4316.0¢$5.67
16 Oct, 01:02 UTCSell YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 202719416.0¢$31.04
16 Oct, 01:02 UTCSell YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 20270.116.0¢$0.02
16 Oct, 01:02 UTCSell YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 20270.6216.0¢$0.10
16 Oct, 01:02 UTCSell YesThe U.S. invade Iran before 202752,16316.0¢$8,346

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.

Data from Polymarket's public API. Sharps is not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment advice.

A Pachira Labs experiment