pako

0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338Updated 20 Oct 2026, 16:01 UTC

pako is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 34 open positions worth $337,524; the largest is Yes on There be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting, 67% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $17,583.

Best open call: Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026, bought at 53.7¢, now 73.6¢, +$10,677 unrealised.

7d profit

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Not on this week's board

7d volume

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Edge —

Open positions

worth $337,524

Also sitting on 82 settled positions that lost $102,161, not yet cleared. Not counted above.

Open positions

scaled to each market

Market	Shares	Entry → now	Unrealised
There be no change in Fed interest rates after…Yes · There be no change in Fed interest… and related	262,807	85.1¢ → 86.5¢	+$7,007
The Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps afte…No · There be no change in Fed interest… and related	77,739	99.1¢ → 99.7¢	+$810.18
US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026No · US unemployment reach at least	8,852	65.0¢ → 95.9¢	+$2,731
Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026Yes · Bitcoin reach	13,818	65.8¢ → 56.5¢	−$1,283
Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end o…Yes · Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end o…	5,562	53.7¢ → 73.6¢	+$10,677
Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end o…Yes · Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end o…	4,219	74.5¢ → 87.3¢	+$1,827
Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026Yes · Bitcoin reach	15,000	45.0¢ → 22.5¢	−$3,375
MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027No · MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027	1,652	94.0¢ → 97.0¢	+$49.81
US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026No · US unemployment reach at least	1,023	90.0¢ → 95.0¢	+$59.13
US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026No · US unemployment reach at least	667	77.4¢ → 97.5¢	+$1,282
Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will…Yes · Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will…	576	84.7¢ → 97.1¢	+$71.24
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026Yes · Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026	10,040	18.8¢ → 3.3¢	−$1,264

Where the money is

There be no change in Fed interest… and related90% of open$304,795
Bitcoin reach3% of open$11,182
US unemployment reach at least3% of open$10,112
Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end o…1% of open$4,090
Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end o…1% of open$3,683
MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 20270% of open$1,602
Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will…0% of open$558.97
The 10-year Treasury yield dip below0% of open$471.55
Everything else · 17 markets0% of open$1,029

Nearby on the leaderboard

#1 this weekjoseph00677+$5,619,635
#2 this weekBreakTheBank+$3,485,537
#3 this weekDiabolical-Prize+$1,375,802
#4 this weeke46m3+$902,183

Recent fills

Time	Side	Market	Shares	Price	Amount
19 Oct, 08:20 UTC	Sell No	US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026	2,424	99.8¢	$2,419
17 Oct, 22:08 UTC	Sell No	US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026	2,296	99.8¢	$2,291
16 Oct, 20:45 UTC	Buy Yes	There be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo…	20,445	86.0¢	$17,583
16 Oct, 20:44 UTC	Buy Yes	There be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo…	10,000	86.0¢	$8,600
16 Oct, 20:44 UTC	Buy Yes	There be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo…	388	86.0¢	$333.68
16 Oct, 20:44 UTC	Buy Yes	There be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo…	418	86.0¢	$359.48
16 Oct, 20:41 UTC	Buy Yes	There be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo…	6.89	86.0¢	$5.93
16 Oct, 20:39 UTC	Buy Yes	There be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo…	17,144	86.0¢	$14,744
16 Oct, 12:25 UTC	Sell Yes	The upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0…	5	0.2¢	$0.01
14 Oct, 11:29 UTC	Sell Yes	3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026	143	0.1¢	$0.14
14 Oct, 11:28 UTC	Sell Yes	1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026	52.63	1.6¢	$0.80
14 Oct, 11:27 UTC	Sell Yes	2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026	641	0.7¢	$4.27
14 Oct, 11:26 UTC	Sell No	No Fed rate cuts happen in 2026	225	3.4¢	$7.29
14 Oct, 11:25 UTC	Sell Yes	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting	1,140	2.5¢	$26.56
11 Oct, 02:26 UTC	Sell No	US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026	18	98.0¢	$17.64
8 Oct, 19:01 UTC	Sell No	US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026	240	98.0¢	$235.20
8 Oct, 19:01 UTC	Sell No	US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026	4,395	98.0¢	$4,307
8 Oct, 19:01 UTC	Sell No	US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026	25	98.0¢	$24.50
8 Oct, 11:54 UTC	Sell No	US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026	1.02	98.0¢	$1.00
8 Oct, 10:37 UTC	Buy Yes	There be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo…	12,537	85.0¢	$10,656

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.