thoodr

0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2edUpdated 27 Oct 2026, 00:53 UTC

One tap: the bot follows this wallet for you and sends its larger trades (currently $4,518 or more) as messages.

thoodr is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 165 open positions worth $1,511,877; the largest is No on The Iranian regime fall before 2027. Its largest recent fill was $12,884.

Best open call: Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or, bought at 93.8¢, now 100.0¢, +$4,740 unrealised.

7d profit

—

Not on this week's board

7d volume

—

Edge —

Open positions

165

worth $1,511,877

Also sitting on 1 settled position that lost $558.55, not yet cleared. Not counted above.

Open positions

scaled to each market

Market	Shares	Entry → now	Unrealised
The Iranian regime fall before 2027No · The Iranian regime fall before 2027	95,000	94.2¢ → 93.5¢	−$624.72
Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'OrNo · Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d… and related	77,397	93.8¢ → 100.0¢	+$4,740
The U.S. invade Iran before 2027No · The U.S. invade Iran before 2027	78,000	81.8¢ → 81.5¢	−$257.01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 20…No · NATO x Russia military clash by	73,608	81.7¢ → 84.5¢	+$2,035
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by O…No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by O…	59,551	97.7¢ → 99.7¢	+$1,189
The U.S. invade Cuba in 2026No · The U.S. invade Cuba in 2026	57,859	92.5¢ → 94.5¢	+$1,145
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…	53,800	98.4¢ → 99.3¢	+$457.52
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…No · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…	56,739	86.1¢ → 93.5¢	+$4,218
GameStop acquire eBayNo · GameStop acquire eBay	53,000	94.0¢ → 94.5¢	+$245.21
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 20…No · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 20…	52,037	92.7¢ → 94.5¢	+$1,623
Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'OrNo · Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d… and related	40,526	97.5¢ → 100.0¢	+$993.57
Russia military action against an EU country by…No · Russia military action against an EU country by…	43,789	90.0¢ → 91.5¢	+$671.54

Where the money is

Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d… and related8% of open$117,864
The Iranian regime fall before 20276% of open$88,825
Iran leadership change by5% of open$82,067
NATO x Russia military clash by5% of open$79,556
The U.S. invade Iran before 20274% of open$63,570
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by O…4% of open$59,343
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…4% of open$55,454
The U.S. invade Cuba in 20264% of open$54,677
Everything else · 117 markets60% of open$910,521

Nearby on the leaderboard

#1 this weekBreakTheBank+$1,751,207
#2 this week0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033+$1,401,484
#3 this weekUpTheBlues+$1,362,136
#4 this weeke46m3+$1,170,274

Recent fills

Time	Side	Market	Shares	Price	Amount
24 Oct, 06:38 UTC	Buy No	Iran leadership change by October 31	675	98.0¢	$661.49
24 Oct, 06:38 UTC	Buy No	Iran leadership change by October 31	250	97.9¢	$244.75
24 Oct, 06:38 UTC	Buy No	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026	506	97.6¢	$493.56
24 Oct, 06:37 UTC	Buy No	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026	200	93.0¢	$186.00
22 Oct, 06:18 UTC	Sell No	Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026	30	95.0¢	$28.50
21 Oct, 13:16 UTC	Buy No	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by Dec…	49.99	95.2¢	$47.59
20 Oct, 16:12 UTC	Buy No	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026	500	95.0¢	$475.00
20 Oct, 16:10 UTC	Buy No	Another country leave OPEC in 2026	1,330	93.0¢	$1,237
20 Oct, 16:10 UTC	Buy No	US strike on Mexico by December 31	1,631	96.2¢	$1,569
20 Oct, 16:08 UTC	Buy No	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31	3,759	99.1¢	$3,725
20 Oct, 16:07 UTC	Buy No	Iran leadership change by November 30	1,491	94.0¢	$1,402
20 Oct, 16:06 UTC	Buy No	Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or	4,819	97.8¢	$4,716
20 Oct, 16:04 UTC	Buy No	Iran leadership change by October 31	6,986	99.0¢	$6,916
19 Oct, 18:38 UTC	Sell No	Yoon out of custody before 2027	100	95.4¢	$95.40
19 Oct, 18:38 UTC	Sell No	Yoon out of custody before 2027	2,547	95.4¢	$2,430
15 Oct, 19:14 UTC	Sell No	The US confirm that aliens exist by October 31	12,988	99.2¢	$12,884
15 Oct, 07:39 UTC	Sell No	Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026	8.5	95.0¢	$8.08
15 Oct, 06:13 UTC	Sell No	Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026	85	95.0¢	$80.75
15 Oct, 05:55 UTC	Sell No	The US confirm that aliens exist by October 31	86.69	99.2¢	$86.00
15 Oct, 05:17 UTC	Sell No	The US confirm that aliens exist by October 31	113	99.2¢	$111.62

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.