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classified
0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8Updated 21 Oct 2026, 01:37 UTC
classified is a Polymarket wallet ranked #98 of 100 this week, with +$65,671 of profit on $4,090,416 of volume, an edge of 2%. It holds 76 open positions worth $321,805; the largest is Yes on Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026, 23% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $11,440.
Best open call: Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, bought at 17.3¢, now 19.9¢, +$280,866 unrealised.
7d profit
+$65,671
Rank 98 of 100 this week
7d volume
$4,090,416
Edge 2%
Open positions
76
worth $321,805
Also sitting on 18 settled positions that lost $181,732, not yet cleared. Not counted above.
Open positions
scaled to each market| Market | Shares | Entry → now | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end o…Yes · Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state i… and related | 87,473 | 67.6¢ → 85.1¢ | +$37,901 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31No · Iran leadership change by | 23,236 | 96.9¢ → 98.9¢ | −$1,664 |
| There be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans…No · There be | 23,257 | 95.0¢ → 96.8¢ | −$16,115 |
| There be no Hormuz agreementYes · There be | 16,990 | 90.7¢ → 88.1¢ | −$3,471 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November…Yes · US x Iran ceasefire continues through | 31,919 | 40.5¢ → 46.0¢ | +$3,979 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by O…No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by O… | 12,609 | 98.2¢ → 99.3¢ | +$129.96 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Octob…Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through | 13,298 | 84.1¢ → 87.5¢ | −$4,803 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31No · US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by | 12,416 | 93.0¢ → 91.0¢ | −$2,921 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026 | 10,777 | 98.7¢ → 99.1¢ | +$155.66 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28Yes · US x Iran ceasefire continues through | 11,989 | 86.0¢ → 85.5¢ | −$59.82 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22Yes · US x Iran ceasefire continues through | 8,658 | 87.8¢ → 94.8¢ | −$834.75 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8Yes · US x Iran ceasefire continues through | 10,704 | 70.5¢ → 69.0¢ | −$410.42 |
Where the money is
- Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state i… and related25% of open$81,928
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through17% of open$56,039
- Iran leadership change by10% of open$32,085
- There be9% of open$27,996
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through8% of open$27,053
- There be8% of open$25,149
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by4% of open$12,805
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by O…4% of open$12,514
- Everything else · 31 markets14% of open$46,236
Nearby on the leaderboard
- #96 this weekwan123+$66,928
- #97 this weekveliMax+$65,937
- #99 this weekLonnieHawkins+$65,009
- #100 this weekS-Works+$64,910
Recent fills
| Time | Side | Market | Shares | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:10 UTC | Sell No | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2… | 50 | 82.0¢ | $41.00 |
| 20 Oct, 23:51 UTC | Buy No | Iran leadership change by November 30 | 1,100 | 90.0¢ | $990.00 |
| 20 Oct, 23:36 UTC | Sell Yes | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027 | 46.15 | 26.0¢ | $12.00 |
| 20 Oct, 23:36 UTC | Sell No | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2… | 200 | 82.0¢ | $164.00 |
| 20 Oct, 23:36 UTC | Sell Yes | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027 | 53.69 | 26.0¢ | $13.96 |
| 20 Oct, 23:36 UTC | Sell Yes | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027 | 7.27 | 26.0¢ | $1.89 |
| 20 Oct, 23:36 UTC | Sell Yes | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027 | 1,000 | 26.0¢ | $260.00 |
| 20 Oct, 23:36 UTC | Buy No | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid… | 14,300 | 80.0¢ | $11,440 |
| 20 Oct, 23:32 UTC | Sell Yes | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2… | 2,577 | 0.3¢ | $7.73 |
| 20 Oct, 23:32 UTC | Sell Yes | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2… | 10,466 | 0.5¢ | $52.53 |
| 20 Oct, 23:26 UTC | Sell No | Xi Jinping out before 2027 | 187 | 97.5¢ | $182.05 |
| 20 Oct, 22:44 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30 | 2.13 | 47.0¢ | $1.00 |
| 20 Oct, 22:36 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30 | 50 | 47.0¢ | $23.50 |
| 20 Oct, 21:45 UTC | Sell No | Xi Jinping out before 2027 | 752 | 97.5¢ | $733.66 |
| 20 Oct, 21:45 UTC | Sell No | Xi Jinping out before 2027 | 769 | 97.5¢ | $749.50 |
| 20 Oct, 21:44 UTC | Sell No | Xi Jinping out before 2027 | 786 | 97.5¢ | $766.33 |
| 20 Oct, 21:24 UTC | Sell No | Xi Jinping out before 2027 | 112 | 97.5¢ | $108.91 |
| 20 Oct, 20:49 UTC | Sell No | Xi Jinping out before 2027 | 112 | 97.5¢ | $108.91 |
| 20 Oct, 20:30 UTC | Sell No | Xi Jinping out before 2027 | 2.05 | 97.5¢ | $2.00 |
| 20 Oct, 20:28 UTC | Sell Yes | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027 | 17.12 | 26.0¢ | $4.45 |
No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.