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TheQuietRisk

0x0a854897a06d4999e5b2dde5693609f1428ffe9dUpdated 21 Oct 2026, 03:25 UTC

TheQuietRisk is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 1 open position worth $163,739; the largest is Yes on The U.S. invade Iran before 2027, 100% of the book.

Only open call: The U.S. invade Iran before 2027, bought at 23.5¢, now 15.5¢, −$113,703 unrealised.

7d profit

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Not on this week's board

7d volume

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Edge —

Open positions

1

worth $163,739

Also sitting on 6 settled positions that lost $557,080, not yet cleared. Not counted above.

Open positions

scaled to each market
MarketSharesEntry → nowUnrealised
The U.S. invade Iran before 2027Yes · The U.S. invade Iran before 20271,056,37923.5¢ → 15.5¢−$113,703

Where the money is

  • The U.S. invade Iran before 2027100% of open$163,739

Nearby on the leaderboard

Recent fills

TimeSideMarketSharesPriceAmount
17 Jun, 17:11 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 30373,9140.2¢$747.83
17 Jun, 17:08 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 3030.40.2¢$0.06
17 Jun, 17:07 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 3028.660.2¢$0.06
17 Jun, 17:07 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 3019.750.2¢$0.04
17 Jun, 17:07 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 3014.740.2¢$0.03
17 Jun, 17:07 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 305,1930.2¢$10.39
17 Jun, 17:07 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 3020.390.2¢$0.04
17 Jun, 17:07 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 3020.250.2¢$0.04
17 Jun, 17:07 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 3030.930.2¢$0.06
17 Jun, 17:07 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 3020,7280.2¢$41.46
17 Jun, 17:06 UTCSell YesReza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 3012,6250.2¢$25.25
17 Jun, 17:05 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 30417,5250.1¢$417.53
17 Jun, 17:05 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 30311,6670.1¢$311.67
17 Jun, 17:05 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 30253,9210.1¢$253.92
17 Jun, 17:05 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 3092,8880.1¢$116.44
17 Jun, 17:03 UTCSell YesReza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30118,4320.2¢$276.67
17 Jun, 17:03 UTCSell YesKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 3040,0000.8¢$310.83
17 Jun, 17:03 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 301070.2¢$0.21
17 Jun, 17:03 UTCSell YesUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 3012,5000.6¢$76.95
17 Jun, 17:02 UTCSell YesThe Iranian regime fall by June 3023.940.2¢$0.05

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.

Data from Polymarket's public API. Sharps is not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment advice.

A Pachira Labs experiment