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TheQuietRisk
0x0a854897a06d4999e5b2dde5693609f1428ffe9dUpdated 21 Oct 2026, 03:25 UTC
TheQuietRisk is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 1 open position worth $163,739; the largest is Yes on The U.S. invade Iran before 2027, 100% of the book.
Only open call: The U.S. invade Iran before 2027, bought at 23.5¢, now 15.5¢, −$113,703 unrealised.
7d profit
—
Not on this week's board
7d volume
—
Edge —
Open positions
1
worth $163,739
Also sitting on 6 settled positions that lost $557,080, not yet cleared. Not counted above.
Open positions
scaled to each market| Market | Shares | Entry → now | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|
| The U.S. invade Iran before 2027Yes · The U.S. invade Iran before 2027 | 1,056,379 | 23.5¢ → 15.5¢ | −$113,703 |
Where the money is
- The U.S. invade Iran before 2027100% of open$163,739
Nearby on the leaderboard
- #1 this weekjoseph00677+$4,287,591
- #2 this weekDiabolical-Prize+$1,922,835
- #3 this weekBreakTheBank+$1,328,650
- #4 this weekOhWhenTheReds+$917,719
Recent fills
| Time | Side | Market | Shares | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun, 17:11 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 373,914 | 0.2¢ | $747.83 |
| 17 Jun, 17:08 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 30.4 | 0.2¢ | $0.06 |
| 17 Jun, 17:07 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 28.66 | 0.2¢ | $0.06 |
| 17 Jun, 17:07 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 19.75 | 0.2¢ | $0.04 |
| 17 Jun, 17:07 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 14.74 | 0.2¢ | $0.03 |
| 17 Jun, 17:07 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 5,193 | 0.2¢ | $10.39 |
| 17 Jun, 17:07 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 20.39 | 0.2¢ | $0.04 |
| 17 Jun, 17:07 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 20.25 | 0.2¢ | $0.04 |
| 17 Jun, 17:07 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 30.93 | 0.2¢ | $0.06 |
| 17 Jun, 17:07 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 20,728 | 0.2¢ | $41.46 |
| 17 Jun, 17:06 UTC | Sell Yes | Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30 | 12,625 | 0.2¢ | $25.25 |
| 17 Jun, 17:05 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 417,525 | 0.1¢ | $417.53 |
| 17 Jun, 17:05 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 311,667 | 0.1¢ | $311.67 |
| 17 Jun, 17:05 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 253,921 | 0.1¢ | $253.92 |
| 17 Jun, 17:05 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 92,888 | 0.1¢ | $116.44 |
| 17 Jun, 17:03 UTC | Sell Yes | Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30 | 118,432 | 0.2¢ | $276.67 |
| 17 Jun, 17:03 UTC | Sell Yes | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30 | 40,000 | 0.8¢ | $310.83 |
| 17 Jun, 17:03 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 107 | 0.2¢ | $0.21 |
| 17 Jun, 17:03 UTC | Sell Yes | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30 | 12,500 | 0.6¢ | $76.95 |
| 17 Jun, 17:02 UTC | Sell Yes | The Iranian regime fall by June 30 | 23.94 | 0.2¢ | $0.05 |
No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.