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The peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5

Ends 1 Apr 2027 · Updated 26 Oct 2026, 17:06 UTC

On "The peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5", 1 tracked wallet holds Yes worth $14.25, led by Lucerys (#71 this week) with $14.25; 1 tracked wallet holds No worth $3.03, led by Vale54holi with $3.03.

Who holds Yes

Top 1 holders
WalletSharesValue
Lucerys0x1387…55f8
#71 this week
50$14.25

Who holds No

Top 1 holders
WalletSharesValue
Vale54holi0x9d0d…2e6d
4.24$3.03

Recent fills in this market

TimeWalletSideSharesPriceAmount
14:16 UTC
xtxpleasecallme0xad53…ef24
Buy No77.5664.5¢$50.00
14:16 UTC
qwen300.fund0xb0c8…fe7f
Buy No3062.0¢$18.60
14:16 UTC
balthazar0x5a21…9318
Buy No5061.0¢$30.50
12:47 UTC
xtxpleasecallme0xad53…ef24
Buy No2163.0¢$13.23
12:33 UTC
xtxpleasecallme0xad53…ef24
Buy No4060.0¢$24.00
24 Oct, 06:43 UTC
xtxpleasecallme0xad53…ef24
Buy Yes99.6532.0¢$31.89
23 Oct, 13:10 UTC
xtxpleasecallme0xad53…ef24
Buy No15.5663.0¢$9.80
23 Oct, 12:41 UTC
aHjCz0x2b59…9db6
Buy Yes16.9441.0¢$6.95
22 Oct, 06:16 UTC
kaxel780xc1b5…5d85
Buy No5070.0¢$35.00
22 Oct, 06:16 UTC
e46m30x4f1d…8de2
Buy No51.9371.0¢$36.87
22 Oct, 06:16 UTC
alex200110x4868…a1c1
Buy No4.2470.0¢$2.97
22 Oct, 06:16 UTC
Vale54holi0x9d0d…2e6d
Buy No4.2470.0¢$2.97
22 Oct, 06:16 UTC
Lucerys0x1387…55f8
Buy No14370.0¢$99.96

Data from Polymarket's public API. Sharps is not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment advice.

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