balthazar

Where the money is

• Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian preside…16% of open$41,566
• China invade Taiwan by December 31, 20277% of open$17,000
• Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end o…6% of open$15,543
• Another Fed rate hike in 20265% of open$11,946
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the s… and related4% of open$11,291
• The Fed4% of open$10,532
• Trump meets with Putin by December 314% of open$10,453
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October4% of open$10,175
• Bitcoin4% of open$10,092
• There be no change in Fed interest… and related3% of open$8,817
• The next Google Gemini Pro model be released by…3% of open$7,065
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through3% of open$6,612
• There be no next Google Gemini Pro model releas…2% of open$6,022
• There be no Hormuz agreement2% of open$5,149
• Variational FDV above2% of open$4,291
• OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 20261% of open$3,446
• There be no Hormuz agreement1% of open$3,388
• Papertrade FDV above1% of open$2,960
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms1% of open$2,917
• Base FDV above1% of open$2,824
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October…1% of open$2,659
• Anthropic’s market cap be1% of open$2,610
• Anthropic’s market cap be1% of open$2,556
• OpenAI's valuation hit1% of open$2,333
• Abstract FDV above1% of open$2,322
• Anthropic's initial public offering occur1% of open$2,298
• Iran leadership change by December 311% of open$2,288
• Predict.fun FDV above1% of open$2,250
• There be no change in Fed interest… and related1% of open$2,206
• OpenAI IPO before 2027 and related1% of open$2,060
• Trump and Putin not meet1% of open$2,051
• Apple release a foldable iPhone before 20271% of open$2,033
• Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by Decem…1% of open$1,978
• Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or1% of open$1,904
• Ethereum1% of open$1,810
• Ethereum1% of open$1,746
• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October1% of open$1,714
• Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Ro…1% of open$1,709
• Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or1% of open$1,663
• Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion1% of open$1,569
• Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial el…1% of open$1,537
• Anthropic IPO by1% of open$1,400
• Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin1% of open$1,360
• OpenAI not announce that it has resumed trainin…0% of open$1,268
• The next Google Gemini Pro model added to the A…0% of open$1,231
• Oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democ…0% of open$1,204
• China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between…0% of open$1,062
• The highest score achieved by an Anthropic Clau…0% of open$1,024
• Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of…0% of open$1,010
• Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June…0% of open$984.58
• Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas…0% of open$977.08
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 20260% of open$925.00
• There be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $8…0% of open$849.29
• There be no Hormuz agreement and the Republican…0% of open$847.82
• Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 310% of open$838.41
• StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch0% of open$797.14
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31,…0% of open$786.63
• Manchester City punishment announced by October…0% of open$757.73
• CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved b…0% of open$752.50
• Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or0% of open$734.45
• Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential…0% of open$704.87
• Oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democ…0% of open$704.64
• Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board…0% of open$682.50
• Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Bo…0% of open$665.00
• Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Bo…0% of open$661.15
• Jozef Viskupič win the 2026 Trnava Region guber…0% of open$644.00
• Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing m…0% of open$637.60