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GoriIIa

0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864bUpdated 26 Oct 2026, 13:04 UTC
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GoriIIa is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 25 open positions worth $646,643; the largest is No on Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026, 37% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $65,997.

Best open call: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026, bought at 83.5¢, now 93.5¢, +$25,914 unrealised.

7d profit

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Not on this week's board

7d volume

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Edge —

Open positions

25

worth $646,643

Also sitting on 2 settled positions that lost $4,197, not yet cleared. Not counted above.

Open positions

scaled to each market
MarketSharesEntry → nowUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…No · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…258,22783.5¢ → 93.5¢+$25,914
Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December…No · Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December…164,00490.8¢ → 97.4¢+$20,998
The Republican Party control the House after th…No · The Republican Party control the House after th…43,98085.5¢ → 91.5¢+$2,638
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing i…No · Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing i…28,82093.7¢ → 98.2¢+$1,292
Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end o…Yes · Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end o…28,16483.2¢ → 86.0¢+$767.17
Iran leadership change by December 31No · Iran leadership change by28,21385.4¢ → 85.5¢+$32.90
Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of I…No · Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of I…27,19189.5¢ → 88.5¢−$269.59
The Iranian regime fall before 2027No · The Iranian regime fall before 202720,00095.0¢ → 93.5¢+$17,092
There be no change in Fed interest rates after…Yes · There be no change in Fed interest rates after…12,80091.9¢ → 94.5¢+$323.61
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…No · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…12,07492.0¢ → 99.5¢+$904.50
Iran leadership change by November 30No · Iran leadership change by9,52093.0¢ → 91.5¢−$142.79
Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidenti…Yes · Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgaria… and related10,23189.0¢ → 74.0¢−$1,534

Where the money is

  • Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef…40% of open$260,197
  • Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December…25% of open$159,658
  • The Republican Party control the House after th…6% of open$40,241
  • Iran leadership change by5% of open$32,832
  • Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing i…4% of open$28,287
  • Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end o…4% of open$24,207
  • Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of I…4% of open$24,064
  • The Iranian regime fall before 20273% of open$18,700
  • Everything else · 10 markets9% of open$58,456

Nearby on the leaderboard

Recent fills

TimeSideMarketSharesPriceAmount
11:11 UTCSell NoUkraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 202620897.9¢$203.74
11:11 UTCSell NoUkraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 202622097.9¢$215.38
11:11 UTCSell NoUkraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 202622097.9¢$215.38
11:11 UTCSell NoUkraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 202641,92897.9¢$41,048
25 Oct, 21:44 UTCSell NoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid…30465.6¢$199.63
25 Oct, 21:44 UTCSell NoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid…23065.6¢$151.05
25 Oct, 21:44 UTCSell NoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid…10065.6¢$65.60
25 Oct, 21:44 UTCSell NoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid…4,43765.7¢$2,915
25 Oct, 21:44 UTCSell NoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid…1,92965.6¢$1,265
24 Oct, 16:11 UTCBuy NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before Dece…1,89294.0¢$1,779
24 Oct, 14:53 UTCBuy NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before Dece…0.0794.0¢$0.07
23 Oct, 11:31 UTCBuy NoThe Iranian regime fall before 202720,00095.0¢$19,000
23 Oct, 11:30 UTCBuy YesThere be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo…9,00094.0¢$8,460
20 Oct, 13:30 UTCBuy YesMojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 202662987.0¢$547.30
20 Oct, 13:27 UTCBuy NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before Dece…54294.0¢$510.72
20 Oct, 13:25 UTCBuy NoFrance declares state of emergency by December 31, 20261085.0¢$8.50
20 Oct, 13:25 UTCSell YesThe Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 M…72,78691.0¢$65,997
18 Oct, 08:39 UTCBuy NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before Marc…30081.0¢$244.85
18 Oct, 08:38 UTCBuy YesThere be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo…3,80087.0¢$3,327
18 Oct, 08:37 UTCBuy NoPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 311,23895.4¢$1,183

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.

Data from Polymarket's public API. Sharps is not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment advice.

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