simpleman

0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88cUpdated 23 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC

One tap: the bot follows this wallet for you and sends its larger trades (currently $680 or more) as messages.

simpleman is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 52 open positions worth $174,421; the largest is Yes on Another Fed rate hike in 2026, 32% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $7,026.

Best open call: 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026, bought at 51.8¢, now 68.5¢, +$4,811 unrealised.

7d profit

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Not on this week's board

7d volume

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Edge —

Open positions

worth $174,421

Also sitting on 52 settled positions that lost $12,567, not yet cleared. Not counted above.

Open positions

scaled to each market

Market	Shares	Entry → now	Unrealised
Another Fed rate hike in 2026Yes · Another Fed rate hike in 2026	72,523	84.4¢ → 76.5¢	−$6,133
There be no change in Fed interest rates after…Yes · There be no change in Fed interest… and related	43,895	62.7¢ → 93.5¢	+$1,096
2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026Yes · 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026 and related	28,666	51.8¢ → 68.5¢	+$4,811
The Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decis…Yes · The Fed	23,215	63.1¢ → 72.5¢	+$2,180
The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after…Yes · The Fed increase interest rates by… and related	12,289	74.5¢ → 71.5¢	+$1,524
There be no change in Fed interest rates after…Yes · There be no change in Fed interest rates after…	9,948	65.0¢ → 67.5¢	−$108.79
Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by Dec…No · Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by Dec…	5,276	69.8¢ → 87.0¢	+$943.13
Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before…No · Gavin Newsom announce a Presidentia… and related	3,969	79.9¢ → 86.0¢	+$316.80
There be no change in Fed interest rates after…No · The Fed increase interest rates by… and related	3,992	82.0¢ → 76.5¢	−$219.57
Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run befor…No · Gavin Newsom announce a Presidentia… and related	2,691	81.3¢ → 92.8¢	+$405.87
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidentia…No · Gavin Newsom announce a Presidentia… and related	1,679	89.3¢ → 88.0¢	+$1.66
J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2…No · Gavin Newsom announce a Presidentia… and related	1,347	88.6¢ → 94.0¢	+$220.29

Where the money is

Another Fed rate hike in 202632% of open$55,480
There be no change in Fed interest… and related24% of open$41,042
2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026 and related11% of open$19,667
The Fed10% of open$16,857
Gavin Newsom announce a Presidentia… and related8% of open$13,097
The Fed increase interest rates by… and related7% of open$11,985
There be no change in Fed interest rates after…4% of open$6,715
Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by Dec…3% of open$4,590
Everything else · 23 markets3% of open$4,987

Nearby on the leaderboard

#1 this weeke46m3+$1,572,139
#2 this weekBreakTheBank+$1,404,905
#3 this weekmooseborzoii+$1,279,708
#4 this weekaHjCz+$1,107,058

Recent fills

Time	Side	Market	Shares	Price	Amount
22 Oct, 23:44 UTC	Sell Yes	The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Dec…	19.24	72.0¢	$13.85
22 Oct, 20:53 UTC	Sell Yes	The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Dec…	629	72.0¢	$452.61
22 Oct, 19:54 UTC	Sell Yes	The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Dec…	1,000	72.0¢	$719.94
22 Oct, 19:37 UTC	Sell Yes	The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Dec…	909	72.0¢	$654.20
22 Oct, 19:13 UTC	Sell Yes	The Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Dec…	98	72.0¢	$70.56
19 Oct, 10:48 UTC	Sell No	Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027	50	97.0¢	$48.50
18 Oct, 19:39 UTC	Sell No	Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027	7.14	97.0¢	$6.93
16 Oct, 05:06 UTC	Buy Yes	2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026	1,806	72.0¢	$1,318
16 Oct, 03:57 UTC	Sell No	The Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Se…	800	26.9¢	$207.38
16 Oct, 03:56 UTC	Buy No	The Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Se…	800	39.4¢	$324.90
16 Oct, 03:50 UTC	Buy Yes	The Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Se…	2,120	66.0¢	$1,422
15 Oct, 16:31 UTC	Sell No	Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027	30.95	97.5¢	$30.18
15 Oct, 16:30 UTC	Sell No	Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027	0.87	97.5¢	$0.85
15 Oct, 12:41 UTC	Sell No	Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027	897	92.6¢	$828.09
15 Oct, 12:34 UTC	Buy Yes	There be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo…	7,999	66.0¢	$5,279
15 Oct, 12:32 UTC	Buy Yes	Another Fed rate hike in 2026	5,838	85.6¢	$5,036
15 Oct, 12:30 UTC	Sell Yes	There be no change in Fed interest rates after the Octo…	11,965	59.9¢	$7,026
15 Oct, 12:15 UTC	Sell Yes	The Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (S…	5,956	9.1¢	$518.05
15 Oct, 02:34 UTC	Buy Yes	The Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (O…	606	49.5¢	$307.57
15 Oct, 01:53 UTC	Sell Yes	There be no change in Fed interest rates after the Janu…	3,316	55.0¢	$1,824

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.