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occasionalAwareness
0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532bUpdated 21 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC
occasionalAwareness is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 44 open positions worth $227,287; the largest is No on Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027, 24% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $23,427.
Best open call: Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31, bought at 44.3¢, now 69.5¢, +$26,948 unrealised.
7d profit
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Not on this week's board
7d volume
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Edge —
Open positions
44
worth $227,287
Also sitting on 28 settled positions that lost $15,812, not yet cleared. Not counted above.
Open positions
scaled to each market| Market | Shares | Entry → now | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2…No · Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2… | 60,625 | 90.0¢ → 91.5¢ | +$909.62 |
| Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by Decem…Yes · Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) | 55,888 | 37.3¢ → 60.5¢ | +$25,693 |
| Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by Dece…Yes · Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) | 45,665 | 44.3¢ → 69.5¢ | +$26,948 |
| The U.S. invade Greenland in 2026No · The U.S. invade Greenland in 2026 | 27,556 | 90.5¢ → 97.3¢ | +$1,941 |
| Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026Yes · Anthropic have the highest IPO Mark… and related | 94,028 | 48.0¢ → 27.3¢ | −$18,934 |
| SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026No · Anthropic have the highest IPO Mark… and related | 40,863 | 48.0¢ → 28.0¢ | −$7,990 |
| Plague pandemic in 2026No · Plague pandemic in 2026 | 8,253 | 94.5¢ → 98.3¢ | +$883.43 |
| Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026No · Anthropic IPO by | 34,579 | 14.8¢ → 21.5¢ | +$2,309 |
| North Carolina enact a data center moratorium b…No · North Carolina enact a data center moratorium b… | 6,145 | 94.0¢ → 96.9¢ | +$701.30 |
| Apple be the largest company in the world by ma…Yes · Apple be the largest company in the… and related | 24,768 | 29.9¢ → 21.9¢ | −$2,004 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027No · Anthropic IPO before 2027 | 11,600 | 12.1¢ → 23.0¢ | +$1,268 |
| Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by Decem…Yes · Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) | 13,679 | 11.5¢ → 16.5¢ | +$2,016 |
Where the money is
- Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH)31% of open$70,222
- Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2…24% of open$55,472
- Anthropic have the highest IPO Mark… and related16% of open$37,111
- The U.S. invade Greenland in 202612% of open$26,798
- Plague pandemic in 20264% of open$8,108
- Anthropic IPO by3% of open$7,508
- Apple be the largest company in the… and related3% of open$7,393
- North Carolina enact a data center moratorium b…3% of open$5,952
- Everything else · 14 markets4% of open$8,721
Nearby on the leaderboard
- #1 this weekjoseph00677+$4,287,591
- #2 this weekDiabolical-Prize+$1,922,835
- #3 this weekBreakTheBank+$1,328,650
- #4 this weekOhWhenTheReds+$917,719
Recent fills
No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.