← Leaderboard
Renan2030
0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a
Renan2030 is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 19 open positions worth $1,010,346; the largest is Yes on Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, 46% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $17,456.
Best open call: Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, bought at 64.7¢, now 77.0¢, +$73,718 unrealised.
7d profit
—
Not on this week's board
7d volume
—
Edge —
Open positions
19
worth $1,010,346
Also sitting on 34 settled positions that lost $258,337, not yet cleared. Not counted above.
Open positions
scaled to each market| Market | Shares | Entry → now | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian preside…Yes · Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazi… and related | 603,151 | 64.7¢ → 77.0¢ | +$73,718 |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilia…No · Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazi… and related | 287,057 | 78.4¢ → 77.5¢ | +$2,868 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Octob…Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Octob… | 165,412 | 84.9¢ → 85.5¢ | +$980.89 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by Dece…No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by Dece… | 102,381 | 82.5¢ → 84.0¢ | +$2,250 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Octob…Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Octob… | 53,525 | 93.1¢ → 97.8¢ | +$2,488 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the seco…Yes · Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the seco… | 14,810 | 80.5¢ → 66.5¢ | −$2,080 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October…Yes · US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October | 9,237 | 96.6¢ → 98.9¢ | +$205.14 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026No · US x Cuba military clash in 2026 | 6,825 | 85.0¢ → 87.0¢ | +$135.72 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October…Yes · US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October | 5,476 | 81.2¢ → 95.5¢ | +$781.13 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026No · Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026 | 6,709 | 81.2¢ → 75.0¢ | −$550.82 |
| Lula win the most votes in the second round of…Yes · Lula win the most votes in the second round of… | 4,480 | 76.5¢ → 80.5¢ | +$180.41 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in OctoberNo · WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October | 2,257 | 89.0¢ → 80.0¢ | −$204.40 |
Where the money is
- Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazi… and related68% of open$686,594
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Octob…19% of open$193,748
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by Dece…9% of open$86,000
- US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October1% of open$14,360
- Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the seco…1% of open$9,849
- US x Cuba military clash in 20261% of open$5,938
- Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 20260% of open$5,032
- Lula win the most votes in the second round of…0% of open$3,607
- Everything else · 6 markets1% of open$5,219
Recent fills
| Time | Side | Market | Shares | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct, 01:34 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21 | 2,664 | 97.6¢ | $2,600 |
| 18 Oct, 22:27 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18 | 100 | 99.9¢ | $100.00 |
| 18 Oct, 22:27 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18 | 40 | 99.9¢ | $39.96 |
| 18 Oct, 22:27 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18 | 613 | 99.9¢ | $612.46 |
| 18 Oct, 22:27 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18 | 40 | 99.9¢ | $39.96 |
| 18 Oct, 22:27 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18 | 1,125 | 99.9¢ | $1,124 |
| 18 Oct, 22:27 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18 | 675 | 99.9¢ | $674.27 |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21 | 105 | 97.4¢ | $102.00 |
| 18 Oct, 21:54 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18 | 100 | 99.9¢ | $100.00 |
| 18 Oct, 20:55 UTC | Buy Yes | Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Braz… | 2,899 | 75.4¢ | $2,206 |
| 18 Oct, 20:46 UTC | Buy No | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presid… | 12,500 | 80.0¢ | $10,080 |
| 18 Oct, 20:45 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21 | 5,305 | 97.4¢ | $5,167 |
| 18 Oct, 20:35 UTC | Sell Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18 | 17,473 | 99.9¢ | $17,456 |
| 18 Oct, 12:41 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21 | 569 | 97.2¢ | $552.86 |
| 18 Oct, 12:40 UTC | Buy Yes | Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election | 137 | 87.0¢ | $119.62 |
| 18 Oct, 12:39 UTC | Buy Yes | Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial… | 174 | 83.8¢ | $146.95 |
| 18 Oct, 12:39 UTC | Sell No | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31 | 1,000 | 82.0¢ | $820.00 |
| 17 Oct, 03:41 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21 | 141 | 93.0¢ | $131.00 |
| 17 Oct, 03:41 UTC | Sell No | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31 | 160 | 82.0¢ | $131.20 |
| 17 Oct, 03:40 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21 | 264 | 92.0¢ | $243.00 |
No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.