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LulaVaiPerder
0x7f9e2d1df78614564a70becc7fa14aa9a6623a0e
LulaVaiPerder is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 13 open positions worth $714,409; the largest is No on The U.S. invade Iran before 2027, 34% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $10,918.
Best open call: The U.S. invade Iran before 2027, bought at 74.3¢, now 84.5¢, +$112,915 unrealised.
7d profit
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Not on this week's board
7d volume
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Edge —
Open positions
13
worth $714,409
Also sitting on 39 settled positions that lost $224,545, not yet cleared. Not counted above.
Open positions
scaled to each market| Market | Shares | Entry → now | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|
| The U.S. invade Iran before 2027No · The U.S. invade Iran before 2027 | 290,119 | 74.3¢ → 84.5¢ | +$112,915 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian preside…Yes · Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazi… and related | 245,591 | 59.2¢ → 77.0¢ | +$43,689 |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilia…No · Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazi… and related | 160,133 | 74.8¢ → 77.5¢ | +$4,299 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Octob…Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Octob… | 94,249 | 93.8¢ → 97.8¢ | +$3,769 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October…Yes · US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October | 32,396 | 86.5¢ → 95.5¢ | +$2,924 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the seco…Yes · Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the seco… | 29,504 | 72.3¢ → 66.5¢ | −$1,718 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October…Yes · US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October | 6,157 | 98.0¢ → 98.9¢ | +$54.28 |
| Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubern…Yes · Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Toca… and related | 3,580 | 59.1¢ → 77.0¢ | +$640.98 |
| Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial e…Yes · Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial e… | 2,437 | 87.2¢ → 91.0¢ | +$92.60 |
| Lula win the most votes in the second round of…Yes · Lula win the most votes in the second round of… | 1,388 | 84.8¢ → 80.5¢ | −$59.33 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026No · US x Cuba military clash in 2026 | 1,081 | 68.4¢ → 87.5¢ | +$387.79 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in OctoberNo · WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October | 366 | 83.7¢ → 80.0¢ | −$13.51 |
Where the money is
- Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazi… and related44% of open$313,086
- The U.S. invade Iran before 202734% of open$245,150
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Octob…13% of open$92,129
- US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October5% of open$37,025
- Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the seco…3% of open$19,620
- Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Toca… and related0% of open$2,826
- Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial e…0% of open$2,218
- Lula win the most votes in the second round of…0% of open$1,118
- Everything else · 2 markets0% of open$1,238
Recent fills
| Time | Side | Market | Shares | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct, 01:33 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21 | 22.54 | 97.6¢ | $22.00 |
| 18 Oct, 22:08 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21 | 712 | 97.5¢ | $694.00 |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18 | 693 | 99.9¢ | $692.17 |
| 18 Oct, 20:44 UTC | Buy Yes | Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential el… | 2,866 | 79.3¢ | $2,292 |
| 18 Oct, 20:43 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21 | 5,684 | 97.3¢ | $5,530 |
| 18 Oct, 20:42 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21 | 4,105 | 97.2¢ | $3,990 |
| 18 Oct, 20:42 UTC | Buy Yes | Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial… | 59.21 | 76.0¢ | $45.43 |
| 18 Oct, 20:41 UTC | Buy Yes | Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round… | 175 | 75.0¢ | $132.31 |
| 18 Oct, 20:09 UTC | Buy Yes | Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round… | 3,651 | 73.0¢ | $2,694 |
| 18 Oct, 20:09 UTC | Sell Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18 | 2,700 | 99.7¢ | $2,692 |
| 18 Oct, 20:05 UTC | Buy Yes | Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round… | 6,580 | 72.1¢ | $4,796 |
| 18 Oct, 20:05 UTC | Sell Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18 | 4,800 | 99.6¢ | $4,781 |
| 18 Oct, 19:55 UTC | Buy Yes | Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round… | 15,448 | 69.8¢ | $10,918 |
| 18 Oct, 19:55 UTC | Sell Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18 | 3,000 | 99.3¢ | $2,978 |
| 18 Oct, 19:53 UTC | Sell Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18 | 8,000 | 99.5¢ | $7,961 |
| 17 Oct, 21:12 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18 | 2,484 | 98.0¢ | $2,434 |
| 17 Oct, 21:11 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21 | 5,916 | 96.0¢ | $5,679 |
| 17 Oct, 21:10 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17 | 8,122 | 99.9¢ | $8,114 |
| 17 Oct, 19:16 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21 | 669 | 96.0¢ | $642.00 |
| 17 Oct, 15:44 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18 | 235 | 98.8¢ | $232.03 |
No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.