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0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71

Best open call: US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22, bought at 7.8¢, now 8.0¢, +$2,737 unrealised.

7d profit

+$253,002

Rank 26 of 100 this week

7d volume

$483,006

Edge 52%

Open positions

100

worth $139,296

Open positions

scaled to each market
MarketSharesEntry → nowUnrealised
Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot beco…No · Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi E… and related18,21167.6¢ → 63.5¢−$2,128
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November…No · US x Iran ceasefire continues through16,87257.1¢ → 57.0¢+$422.87
Next White House Press Secretary announced by N…No · Next White House Press Secretary announced by17,62342.9¢ → 47.5¢+$815.94
Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration bef…No · Pete Hegseth leave the Trump admini… and related10,54861.7¢ → 74.0¢+$1,930
Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister o…No · Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister o…8,67769.1¢ → 72.5¢+$483.85
The Republican Party control the Senate after t…No · The Republican Party control the Senate after t…9,37564.0¢ → 63.5¢−$46.88
The Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026Yes · The Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 20269,52463.0¢ → 62.5¢−$47.61
Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran dea…No · Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a… and related5,48485.6¢ → 87.5¢+$2,005
There be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or o…No · There be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or o…6,87665.2¢ → 68.8¢+$278.92
Any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a…No · Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a… and related4,74885.8¢ → 85.5¢+$1,843
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 3…No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by11,11932.7¢ → 35.5¢+$307.14
Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor electionYes · Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election6,62764.7¢ → 57.5¢−$474.98

Where the money is

  • US x Iran ceasefire continues through10% of open$14,518
  • Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi E… and related10% of open$13,367
  • Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a… and related7% of open$9,678
  • Next White House Press Secretary announced by7% of open$9,582
  • Pete Hegseth leave the Trump admini… and related6% of open$8,580
  • Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister o…5% of open$6,291
  • The Republican Party control the Senate after t…4% of open$5,953
  • The Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 20264% of open$5,952
  • US announces end of Iranian blockade by4% of open$5,426
  • There be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or o…3% of open$4,731
  • Scott Jennings be the next White Ho… and related3% of open$4,459
  • Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election3% of open$3,811
  • Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court…2% of open$3,207
  • Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 312% of open$2,565
  • Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time2% of open$2,398
  • Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (Eas…1% of open$2,020
  • The AfD be part of a German state government in…1% of open$1,936
  • Israel strike1% of open$1,897
  • The US strike1% of open$1,753
  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Octob…1% of open$1,666
  • Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair…1% of open$1,364
  • Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end…1% of open$1,170
  • UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal…1% of open$1,127
  • Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as P…1% of open$1,095
  • Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake…1% of open$1,054
  • AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 20…1% of open$1,022
  • US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms1% of open$980.77
  • Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane1% of open$866.98
  • Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New…1% of open$856.63
  • Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair…1% of open$855.84
  • J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplo… and related1% of open$850.42
  • The next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take…1% of open$809.71
  • Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin1% of open$791.65
  • US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November…1% of open$756.43
  • Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the seco…1% of open$728.26
  • Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social earl…1% of open$717.60
  • Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral el…0% of open$688.06
  • Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral…0% of open$600.17
  • Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario ma…0% of open$581.80
  • Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State guber…0% of open$566.71
  • Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of…0% of open$565.93
  • Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Cha…0% of open$558.88
  • Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral el…0% of open$540.61
  • Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral…0% of open$536.75
  • Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral ele…0% of open$519.03
  • Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayora…0% of open$505.08
  • Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board C…0% of open$480.56
  • Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of…0% of open$473.08
  • Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republica… and related0% of open$450.54
  • Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc0% of open$428.51
  • Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins guber…0% of open$412.24
  • Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad La…0% of open$411.77
  • Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 20260% of open$411.12
  • Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernator…0% of open$404.08
  • Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Is…0% of open$402.58
  • Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Ro…0% of open$388.18
  • OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize soluti…0% of open$364.71
  • Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral el…0% of open$333.48
  • Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election0% of open$325.23
  • Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral…0% of open$308.00
  • Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubern…0% of open$297.49
  • Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral el…0% of open$294.44
  • Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chai…0% of open$290.96
  • Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of…0% of open$288.16
  • Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura ma…0% of open$272.02
  • Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral el…0% of open$250.65
  • Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 20…0% of open$243.34
  • Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 I…0% of open$231.17
  • Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gube…0% of open$223.21
  • Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral ele…0% of open$210.98
  • Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayora…0% of open$207.61
  • Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 310% of open$198.28
  • František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral elec…0% of open$194.32

Recent fills

TimeSideMarketSharesPriceAmount
07:01 UTCBuy YesNext White House Press Secretary announced by October 3…3.7910.0¢$0.38
05:01 UTCBuy YesNext White House Press Secretary announced by October 3…17010.0¢$17.02
04:38 UTCBuy YesNext White House Press Secretary announced by October 3…53810.0¢$55.75
04:37 UTCBuy NoNext White House Press Secretary announced by November…8,58246.6¢$4,084
02:05 UTCBuy NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 222,5547.8¢$200.00
02:05 UTCSell YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 314,46877.8¢$3,475
01:15 UTCBuy NoCourts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access…92067.4¢$627.74
19 Oct, 20:45 UTCSell YesIran full airspace closure by December 3141030.4¢$124.79
19 Oct, 20:40 UTCSell YesIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 313,20033.9¢$1,085
19 Oct, 19:47 UTCSell NoA ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran…81487.0¢$708.50
19 Oct, 19:45 UTCBuy NoSteven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary2,42494.9¢$2,305
19 Oct, 19:40 UTCBuy NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 20274,59937.0¢$1,700
19 Oct, 19:37 UTCSell NoTogether win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli l…98024.0¢$228.05
19 Oct, 19:36 UTCSell NoTogether win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli l…1,80026.0¢$454.49
19 Oct, 19:01 UTCSell YesIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 301,60024.7¢$394.54
19 Oct, 18:55 UTCBuy YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 312,54078.7¢$2,000
19 Oct, 18:28 UTCSell NoIshaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by Dece…1,40886.0¢$1,211
19 Oct, 18:27 UTCBuy YesUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms1,28278.0¢$1,000.00
19 Oct, 18:25 UTCSell YesIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 301,70026.1¢$442.93
19 Oct, 18:24 UTCBuy YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 311,95786.8¢$1,700

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Data from Polymarket's public API. Sharps is not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment advice.

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