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paddaa
0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71
Best open call: US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22, bought at 7.8¢, now 8.0¢, +$2,737 unrealised.
7d profit
+$253,002
Rank 26 of 100 this week
7d volume
$483,006
Edge 52%
Open positions
100
worth $139,296
Open positions
scaled to each market| Market | Shares | Entry → now | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot beco…No · Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi E… and related | 18,211 | 67.6¢ → 63.5¢ | −$2,128 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November…No · US x Iran ceasefire continues through | 16,872 | 57.1¢ → 57.0¢ | +$422.87 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by N…No · Next White House Press Secretary announced by | 17,623 | 42.9¢ → 47.5¢ | +$815.94 |
| Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration bef…No · Pete Hegseth leave the Trump admini… and related | 10,548 | 61.7¢ → 74.0¢ | +$1,930 |
| Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister o…No · Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister o… | 8,677 | 69.1¢ → 72.5¢ | +$483.85 |
| The Republican Party control the Senate after t…No · The Republican Party control the Senate after t… | 9,375 | 64.0¢ → 63.5¢ | −$46.88 |
| The Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026Yes · The Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026 | 9,524 | 63.0¢ → 62.5¢ | −$47.61 |
| Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran dea…No · Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a… and related | 5,484 | 85.6¢ → 87.5¢ | +$2,005 |
| There be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or o…No · There be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or o… | 6,876 | 65.2¢ → 68.8¢ | +$278.92 |
| Any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a…No · Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a… and related | 4,748 | 85.8¢ → 85.5¢ | +$1,843 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 3…No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by | 11,119 | 32.7¢ → 35.5¢ | +$307.14 |
| Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor electionYes · Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election | 6,627 | 64.7¢ → 57.5¢ | −$474.98 |
Where the money is
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through10% of open$14,518
- Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi E… and related10% of open$13,367
- Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a… and related7% of open$9,678
- Next White House Press Secretary announced by7% of open$9,582
- Pete Hegseth leave the Trump admini… and related6% of open$8,580
- Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister o…5% of open$6,291
- The Republican Party control the Senate after t…4% of open$5,953
- The Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 20264% of open$5,952
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by4% of open$5,426
- There be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or o…3% of open$4,731
- Scott Jennings be the next White Ho… and related3% of open$4,459
- Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election3% of open$3,811
- Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court…2% of open$3,207
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 312% of open$2,565
- Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time2% of open$2,398
- Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (Eas…1% of open$2,020
- The AfD be part of a German state government in…1% of open$1,936
- Israel strike1% of open$1,897
- The US strike1% of open$1,753
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Octob…1% of open$1,666
- Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair…1% of open$1,364
- Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end…1% of open$1,170
- UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal…1% of open$1,127
- Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as P…1% of open$1,095
- Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake…1% of open$1,054
- AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 20…1% of open$1,022
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms1% of open$980.77
- Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane1% of open$866.98
- Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New…1% of open$856.63
- Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair…1% of open$855.84
- J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplo… and related1% of open$850.42
- The next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take…1% of open$809.71
- Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin1% of open$791.65
- US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November…1% of open$756.43
- Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the seco…1% of open$728.26
- Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social earl…1% of open$717.60
- Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral el…0% of open$688.06
- Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral…0% of open$600.17
- Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario ma…0% of open$581.80
- Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State guber…0% of open$566.71
- Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of…0% of open$565.93
- Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Cha…0% of open$558.88
- Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral el…0% of open$540.61
- Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral…0% of open$536.75
- Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral ele…0% of open$519.03
- Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayora…0% of open$505.08
- Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board C…0% of open$480.56
- Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of…0% of open$473.08
- Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republica… and related0% of open$450.54
- Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc0% of open$428.51
- Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins guber…0% of open$412.24
- Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad La…0% of open$411.77
- Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 20260% of open$411.12
- Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernator…0% of open$404.08
- Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Is…0% of open$402.58
- Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Ro…0% of open$388.18
- OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize soluti…0% of open$364.71
- Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral el…0% of open$333.48
- Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election0% of open$325.23
- Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral…0% of open$308.00
- Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubern…0% of open$297.49
- Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral el…0% of open$294.44
- Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chai…0% of open$290.96
- Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of…0% of open$288.16
- Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura ma…0% of open$272.02
- Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral el…0% of open$250.65
- Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 20…0% of open$243.34
- Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 I…0% of open$231.17
- Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gube…0% of open$223.21
- Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral ele…0% of open$210.98
- Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayora…0% of open$207.61
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 310% of open$198.28
- František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral elec…0% of open$194.32
Recent fills
| Time | Side | Market | Shares | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:01 UTC | Buy Yes | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 3… | 3.79 | 10.0¢ | $0.38 |
| 05:01 UTC | Buy Yes | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 3… | 170 | 10.0¢ | $17.02 |
| 04:38 UTC | Buy Yes | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 3… | 538 | 10.0¢ | $55.75 |
| 04:37 UTC | Buy No | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November… | 8,582 | 46.6¢ | $4,084 |
| 02:05 UTC | Buy No | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22 | 2,554 | 7.8¢ | $200.00 |
| 02:05 UTC | Sell Yes | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31 | 4,468 | 77.8¢ | $3,475 |
| 01:15 UTC | Buy No | Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access… | 920 | 67.4¢ | $627.74 |
| 19 Oct, 20:45 UTC | Sell Yes | Iran full airspace closure by December 31 | 410 | 30.4¢ | $124.79 |
| 19 Oct, 20:40 UTC | Sell Yes | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31 | 3,200 | 33.9¢ | $1,085 |
| 19 Oct, 19:47 UTC | Sell No | A ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran… | 814 | 87.0¢ | $708.50 |
| 19 Oct, 19:45 UTC | Buy No | Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary | 2,424 | 94.9¢ | $2,305 |
| 19 Oct, 19:40 UTC | Buy No | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027 | 4,599 | 37.0¢ | $1,700 |
| 19 Oct, 19:37 UTC | Sell No | Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli l… | 980 | 24.0¢ | $228.05 |
| 19 Oct, 19:36 UTC | Sell No | Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli l… | 1,800 | 26.0¢ | $454.49 |
| 19 Oct, 19:01 UTC | Sell Yes | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30 | 1,600 | 24.7¢ | $394.54 |
| 19 Oct, 18:55 UTC | Buy Yes | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31 | 2,540 | 78.7¢ | $2,000 |
| 19 Oct, 18:28 UTC | Sell No | Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by Dece… | 1,408 | 86.0¢ | $1,211 |
| 19 Oct, 18:27 UTC | Buy Yes | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms | 1,282 | 78.0¢ | $1,000.00 |
| 19 Oct, 18:25 UTC | Sell Yes | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30 | 1,700 | 26.1¢ | $442.93 |
| 19 Oct, 18:24 UTC | Buy Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31 | 1,957 | 86.8¢ | $1,700 |
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