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0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319

0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319

0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 is a Polymarket wallet tracked by Sharps. It holds 23 open positions worth $441,849; the largest is No on The Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections, 41% of the book. Its largest recent fill was $13,638.

Best open call: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, bought at 12.3¢, now 22.5¢, +$21,397 unrealised.

7d profit

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Not on this week's board

7d volume

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Edge —

Open positions

23

worth $441,849

Open positions

scaled to each market
MarketSharesEntry → nowUnrealised
The Republican Party control the House after th…No · The Republican Party control the Ho… and related200,00090.0¢ → 91.5¢+$3,000
The Democratic Party control the House after th…Yes · The Republican Party control the Ho… and related100,00090.0¢ → 91.5¢+$1,500
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilia…Yes · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2… and related200,00012.3¢ → 22.5¢+$21,397
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House100,00028.0¢ → 28.5¢+$500.40
Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 20…No · Flávio Bolsonaro win the second rou… and related20,00096.5¢ → 98.2¢+$330.10
The Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026Yes · The Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 202625,00062.0¢ → 62.5¢+$125.05
The Democrats win the South Carolina Senate rac…No · The Democrats win the South Carolin… and related15,00084.0¢ → 82.5¢−$225.00
The Republicans win the South Carolina Senate r…Yes · The Democrats win the South Carolin… and related15,00084.0¢ → 82.5¢−$224.79
The Democrats win the Florida governor race in…No · The Democrats win the Florida gover… and related10,00075.5¢ → 80.5¢+$497.02
Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian preside…No · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2… and related33,33319.2¢ → 23.1¢+$1,283
The Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race i…No · The Republicans win the Minnesota S… and related4,96286.0¢ → 86.5¢+$24.81
The Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Min…Yes · The Democratic Party candidate win… and related4,59667.2¢ → 80.5¢+$611.57

Where the money is

  • The Republican Party control the Ho… and related62% of open$274,500
  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2… and related12% of open$52,683
  • 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House6% of open$28,500
  • The Democrats win the South Carolin… and related6% of open$24,750
  • Flávio Bolsonaro win the second rou… and related4% of open$19,825
  • The Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 20264% of open$15,625
  • The Democrats win the Florida gover… and related2% of open$10,965
  • The Republicans win the Minnesota S… and related1% of open$5,136
  • Everything else · 4 markets2% of open$9,864

Recent fills

TimeSideMarketSharesPriceAmount
06:51 UTCBuy NoThe Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 20262086.0¢$17.20
05:50 UTCSell NoThe Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 202650037.0¢$185.00
05:16 UTCBuy YesThe Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 202621862.0¢$135.10
05:05 UTCBuy YesThe Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 202630062.0¢$186.07
04:49 UTCBuy YesThe Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 202621,99662.0¢$13,638
04:46 UTCBuy YesThe Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 202654662.0¢$338.52
04:42 UTCBuy YesThe Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026562.0¢$3.10
04:39 UTCBuy YesThe Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026562.0¢$3.10
04:38 UTCBuy YesThe Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 202627762.0¢$171.82
04:17 UTCBuy YesThe Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 20261,65362.0¢$1,040
02:24 UTCBuy YesLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2…5150.1¢$0.51
02:24 UTCBuy YesLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2…4860.1¢$0.49
02:24 UTCBuy YesLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2…3730.1¢$0.37
02:24 UTCBuy YesLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2…4910.1¢$0.49
02:24 UTCBuy YesLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2…60.290.1¢$0.06
02:24 UTCBuy YesLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2…500.1¢$0.05
02:24 UTCBuy YesLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2…2.30.1¢$0.00
02:24 UTCBuy YesLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2…2990.1¢$0.30
02:24 UTCBuy YesLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2…3760.1¢$0.38
02:24 UTCBuy YesLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2…7.60.1¢$0.01

No alerts from these fills: nobody follows this wallet on Telegram yet.

Data from Polymarket's public API. Sharps is not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment advice.

A Pachira Labs experiment